NFL Betting

[Swanny32]

I know the season hasn't been finished all that long and as it stands there isn't going to be any football next season due to the CBA not being agreed but the bookies are still taking bets on next years Superbowl champs and it would be good to get tips and talk about spreads etc once/if the season does begin. I know a few places also take bets on where certain college players will be taken in the draft which is only a month away.

William Hill are also taking bets on whether there will be a disruption to the season, whether there will be any football played before January 2012 and also whether there will be a Superbowl before May 2012.

Best Superbowl 2011/12 odds (as of 28/03/2011 14:50):

New England Patriots - 9.0 (Paddy Power)
Green Bay Packers - 9.0 (Boyle Sports)
Pittsburgh Steelers - 12.0 (Boyle Sports)
San Diego Chargers - 15.0 (BlueSQ)
New Orleans Saints - 17.0 (Sky Bet)
Baltimore Ravens - 17.0 (Sky Bet)
Atlanta Falcons - 17.0 (Sporting Bet)
Philadelphia Eagles - 17.0 (Sky Bet)
Indianapolis Colts - 18.0 (BWin.com)
Dallas Cowboys - 20.0 (UnitBet)
New York Jets - 20.0 (UnitBet)
New York Giants - 20.0 (BWin.com)
Chicago Bears - 34.0 (Sky Bet)
Houston Texans - 36.0 (BWin.com)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 41.0 (Boyle Sports)
Kansas City Chiefs - 41.0 (Sky Bet)
Minnesota Vikings - 51.0 (Tote Sport)
St Louis Rams - 51.0 (Boyle Sports)
Detroit Lions - 51.0 (Tote Sport)
San Francisco 49ers - 51.0 (Tote Sport)
Miami Dolphins - 67.0 (Sky Bet)
Oakland Raiders - 67.0 (BlueSQ)
Tennessee Titans - 67.0 (ToteSport)
Jacksonville Jaguars - 70.0 (BWin.com)
Seattle Seahawks - 81.0 (Boyle Sports)
Cincinnati Bengals - 81.0 (Sky Bet)
Washington Redskins - 101.0 (Tote Sport)
Denver Broncos - 101.0 (Tote Sport)
Cleveland Browns - 126.0 (Victor Chandler)
Arizona Cardinals - 151.0 (Tote Sport)
Buffalo Bills - 251.0 (Sporting Bet)
Carolina Panthers - 501.0 (Boyle Sports)

[pauldrulez]

Get me some odds on the draft. I'll make some money.

[Swanny32]

All with BetFair
1st Player Drafted:

Cam Newton - 1.67
Blaine Gabbert - 1.86
Patrick Peterson - 2.63
Nick Fairley - 2.65
Marcell Dareus - 2.69
DaQuan Bowers - 2.77
Any other player - 3.0
A J Green - 3.33
Von Miller - 3.33
Prince Amukamara - 4.0
Robert Quinn - 5.0

2nd Player Drafted
Nick Fairley - 1.7
Patrick Peterson - 1.86
Marcell Dareus - 2.03
DaQuan Bowers - 2.24
A J Green - 2.25
Any other player - 2.25
Cam Newton - 2.35
Von Miller - 2.44
Blaine Gabbert - 2.63
Robert Quinn - 3.04
Prince Amukamara - 3.14

[pauldrulez]

2nd player drafted: Peterson or Dareus.

1st player: Newton. Not that he's a great player, but he will be first taken.

Any other odds? Likely landing spots for players, etc?

[Swanny32]

Not yet, I remember seeing odds for other things last year. So I would imagine there will be more special up soon.

[ardeo]

Jets and Giants look pretty decent value, pretty open though, difficult to make any outright punts before the draft and free agency. Although Eagles are worth a shout if we get Asomugha and draft some good O-linemen. Well we'll be good to trade shorter than 17s at some point in the season anyway.

Think it was after the skins second game we were favourites for the SB around 7.2 or something. Really wanted to lay us to the hilt but couldn't quite bring myself to do it.

Anyway i'd be surprised if the SB was won by anyone other than:

Pats, Packers, Steelers, Ravens, Eagles, Jets or Giants.

[Swanny32]

If the Saints and Colts can come by some kind of effective running game then they could be in with a shout, good odds too.

[pauldrulez]

Colts are fading fast.

They rely way too much on Manning and have used a hell of a lot of high picks on Offensive players.

You mention a running game. They took Donald Brown and Joseph Addai in the last 4 years with their 1st round picks.

[Swanny32]

Addai is half decent, if they can keep him fit then he could probably do a job for them but I still don't rate him all that high. I can see why they are at 17/1 but I still think that's a good price to take them at.

[ardeo]

I agree with Paul, Colts on the downswing, also think Saints are weak on defence. Both are also in divisions with improving teams so not sure either will even make the playoffs!

[Swanny32]

It takes a brave man to bet against Drew Brees and Peyton Manning.

[pauldrulez]

It takes a brave man to bet against Drew Brees and Peyton Manning.
Never bet against Brees.

Rarely bet against Manning.

I do bet against the Colts Running game, ageing O-Line and poor defense.

[Swanny32]

Just found a couple more for you Paul:

Betfair
Cam Newton pick number:
1st - 3rd - 1.38
4th - 6th - 2.14
7th - 9th - 2.24
10th or later - 1.95

Cam Newton Team:
Bills - 1.26
Panthers - 1.62
Any Other Team - 1.62
Bengals - 2.24
Cardinals - 2.34
49ers - 3.1
Redskins - 3.1
Titans - 4.2
Cowboys - 4.2
Vikings - 4.2
Dolphins - 5.5
Jaguars - 7.4
Broncos - 7.4
Browns - 7.4
Texans - 8.4
Chiefs - 9.0
Buccs - 9.4

[Swanny32]

Personally, 1st - 3rd is easy money, and if the Panthers don't take him with their number 1 pick I'll be amazed especially as they don't have a 2nd round pick. By the time it gets back to them in the 3rd round, Newton, Gabbert and Locker will be gone, surprised to see the Bills favorite to pick Newton.

[allenhall]

Think it was after the skins second game we were favourites for the SB around 7.2 or something. Really wanted to lay us to the hilt but couldn't quite bring myself to do it.

[ardeo]

Think it was after the skins second game we were favourites for the SB around 7.2 or something. Really wanted to lay us to the hilt but couldn't quite bring myself to do it.

Yea I thought exactly the same thing, but 7 is quite high still if you want to make any decent money.

Probably worth laying us mid way through the season before our tough run.

[Flat Noodle]

Are there no one here who bet on this!?

FWIW, here are my plays today:

NY Giants -1.0 @ 1.92
ATL Falcons -5.5 @ 1.92
SD Chargers -6.5 @ 1.92

[pauldrulez]

I have Stevan Ridley @ 10/1 to score a TD at anytime today for the Patriots (with SpreadEx)

He'll be taking the spot of Benjarvus Green-Ellis as starter at some point in the near future and figures to get carries today.

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Im so angry

Was going to do doubles for first TD scorers of Bryant 7/1, Welker 7/1 and Nelson 11/1 and missed it by seconds at 6pm

They all got first TD's in their games!!!!!

[pauldrulez]

Who with Steve?

My usual variety of Bookies won't let me double up on TD scorer bets

[Bigtoe82]

Don't really follow nfl but I will put a bet on the college football if sharky says so. On 2+2 on the sports betting part, a bloke called 'sharky' puts up his 'college football locks of the week and has about a 90% hit rate... May post them in here when he puts his next one up although haven't looked for a week or so!

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Who with Steve?

My usual variety of Bookies won't let me double up on TD scorer bets

PP, ive no idea if they would have allowed it, never tried it before! I got distracted and it ticked past 6pm

[pauldrulez]

I have Stevan Ridley @ 10/1 to score a TD at anytime today for the Patriots (with SpreadEx)

He'll be taking the spot of Benjarvus Green-Ellis as starter at some point in the near future and figures to get carries today.
Don't say you don't get Patriots inside info from me... :lux:

Brilliant by the Riddler

[Flat Noodle]

Need the G men to hang in there for me.

4 pts up with 2 minutes to go

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Need ravens -4.5 for my accy

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

* -4

[Flat Noodle]

G men :love:

[Flat Noodle]

Need ravens -4.5 for my accy
With you on the Ravens -4.5

:p

[Finbar]

go then, I'm on them too :)

[Flat Noodle]

Great start by the Ravens, or rather terrible start by the Jets :d

[Finbar]

quick reply by NY I'm guessing then, only just turned it on

[Flat Noodle]

Spoke too soon, Jets came right back with the 107 yards kick return TD :grrr:

[Flat Noodle]

They should name the team "Baltimore Rice" after their Running Back. The rest of them sucks!

[Finbar]

Looking good now

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Long way to go

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

easy enough

[Flat Noodle]

Thanks, Steve :p

[Finbar]

Cheers for that, first game I've watched in full (or close to) for a long time, enjoyable!

[Flat Noodle]

Colts suck without Payton Manning. Expect the Bucs to win comfortably tomorrow. Also fancy the Under 40.5

[Flat Noodle]

Under is the play for me today

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Bucs over 25 points

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

3rd Q highest scoring

1st TD - Williams, Blount, Graham

[Flat Noodle]

3rd Q highest scoring
Nice one, Steve. A bit lucky with the TD in that last minute ;)

[Flat Noodle]

Under 40.5
Lost. So close. Regret not laying off after first Quarter. :sob:

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Bucs over 25 points

24 points :sob:

[Flat Noodle]

What about me!? Lost by 0.5 point :sob:

[ozeagle]

guy, you must stop.

[Flat Noodle]

You're probably right, Oz.

Time for me to take a sabbatical from punting. :(

[Beckenham Boy]

Cardinals v Vikings this weekend. Cardinals 1/3 with a -1 net point score and Vikings are 0/4 with a -19 point score.

Playing at Vikings but I cannot see why they are favourites?

Vikings are 3/4 and Cardinals 5/4

Cardinals to win by 1-6 is 4/1 and by 7-12 is 13/2 - I'm backing both of these

[pauldrulez]

Taking on the Riddler again for the Patriots - 17/10.

Also with Ladbrokes.

The bet is 1st TD Scorer for a team (i.e if MJD scores 1st in his game, but you have Fred Jackson who scores to make it 7-7, you win)

Trebles from 5 (doesn't let you do 4 from 5 or an acca):
Fred Jackson (Buffalo) - 9/4
Arian Foster (Houston) - 17/10
Vincent Jackson (San Diego) - 7/2
Calvin Johnson (Detroit) - 13/8
AJ Green (Cincinnati) - 7/2

[pauldrulez]

Taking on the Riddler again for the Patriots - 17/10.

Also with Ladbrokes.

The bet is 1st TD Scorer for a team (i.e if MJD scores 1st in his game, but you have Fred Jackson who scores to make it 7-7, you win)

Trebles from 5 (doesn't let you do 4 from 5 or an acca):
Fred Jackson (Buffalo) - 9/4 WIN
Arian Foster (Houston) - 17/10 LOSE
Vincent Jackson (San Diego) - 7/2
Calvin Johnson (Detroit) - 13/8
AJ Green (Cincinnati) - 7/2 WIN
So, after the early games....

[Flat Noodle]

Green Bay -6.0 for me

[Flat Noodle]

They are clearly not the same GB and ATL team I saw last week.

Can't see GB winning and covering my line tonight, sadly.

[Flat Noodle]

What do I know about this sport? Nothing. :D

GB 8 points up with 2 minutes to go. C'mon Rodgers!

[Flat Noodle]

Went for the FG, now 11 points up with 1.10 left on the clock.

No timeout left for Atlanta... Just need to defend this last wave.

[Flat Noodle]

Green Bay -6.0 for me
Never in doubt :D

[pauldrulez]

Also with Ladbrokes.

The bet is 1st TD Scorer for a team (i.e if MJD scores 1st in his game, but you have Fred Jackson who scores to make it 7-7, you win)

Trebles from 5 (doesn't let you do 4 from 5 or an acca):
Fred Jackson (Buffalo) - 9/4
Arian Foster (Houston) - 17/10
Vincent Jackson (San Diego) - 7/2
Calvin Johnson (Detroit) - 13/8
AJ Green (Cincinnati) - 7/2
Doubles and Trebles from 5 = £70 profit :lux:

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

I had Javhid Best!

[pauldrulez]

Same bet as last week, couple of different players.

Doubles and Trebles from 5

First TD Scorer for their team.
Michael Turner - Atlanta - 21/10
Fred Jackson - Buffalo - 9/4
AJ Green - Cincinnati - 7/2
Darren McFadden - Oakland - 23/10
Rob Gronkowski - New England - 7/2

[pauldrulez]

Same bet as last week, couple of different players.

Doubles and Trebles from 5

First TD Scorer for their team.
Michael Turner - Atlanta - 21/10
Fred Jackson - Buffalo - 9/4
AJ Green - Cincinnati - 7/2
Darren McFadden - Oakland - 23/10
Rob Gronkowski - New England - 7/2
3 from 5 with McFadden and the Gronk to come.

[Flat Noodle]

Good going, Paul. Best of luck! :p

[Flat Noodle]

Forgot to post my plays here earlier, GB -14.0 already won.

Just need the Pats / Cowgirls Over 55.5 to complete a perfect night :)

[pauldrulez]

COME ON THE GRONK!!!!!

[Flat Noodle]

The total in Pats / Cowgirls game is a disgrace... so many turnovers

[pauldrulez]

Michael Turner (Atlanta) - 15/8
Ray Rice (Baltimore) - 17/10
Darren McFadden (Oakland) - 2/1
Matt Forte (Chicago) - 11/4
Arian Foster (Houston) - 2/1

Here's my selections for this week.

Doubles and Trebles from 5 with Ladbrokes

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Should have gone with mike Williams as means you can cheers the bucs on then :)

[Flat Noodle]

Was expecting the Packers to be at least 2-3 TD favourite against the struggling Vikings today, but it's actually only -9.5!

Anyone know any reason why it's this low? :confused:

[Flat Noodle]

Have gone for these today:

GB -9.5
Det -4.0
PIT -3.5

[Flat Noodle]

Also playing these:

DAL -13.5
NO -13.5
TB +2.0

[Flat Noodle]

Have gone for the Steelers -3.5 in today's late game.

[Flat Noodle]

Hoping for big win by PITT, so I'm having a small dabble on Pitt -12.5 as well @ 3.75

[Flat Noodle]

FFS Stoolers :veryangry

[Flat Noodle]

Playing these today:

49ers -10.0
Cowboys -7.0
Lions -6.5

[pauldrulez]

In on my normal bet

Forte (Chi) 11/4
Lynch (Sea) 9/4
Gronk (NE) 3/1
Rice (Bal) 9/5
F.Jackson (Buf) 21/10

[Flat Noodle]

Playing these today:

49ers -10.0
Cowboys -7.0
Lions -6.5
2/3 ... Cowgirls choked...

[Flat Noodle]

PHI +6.0 in the last game vs NYG.

Also a dabble on LeSean McCoy (PHI) first TD scorer @ $5.50

[Flat Noodle]

Can't believe my first TD bet is still alive at this point, lol ~

Wish I had taken the UNDER 45.5 :D

[Flat Noodle]

PHI +6.0 in the last game vs NYG.

Also a dabble on LeSean McCoy (PHI) first TD scorer @ $5.50
Win.

McCoy bet lost.

:)

[Flat Noodle]

Pats -17.0 for me today.

Also Gronk to be First TD scorer @ 7

[Finbar]

Am also on both but not looking great for the handicap so far, have also laid New England at 1.15 just now as looking at the game now I don't see NE dominating so could be able to trade

In short NE will win by 1-16 :)

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Why would you back the pats at -17?! Worst bet ever, they might end up covering now but pre game its an awful bet

[Finbar]

Bored, don't follow much NFL and wanted a bit of interest is my excuse

Poor excuse I know, hopefully come out with a profit and learn from my mistakes (I won't)

[Finbar]

Profit assured :lux:

(though I had to take 11/2 rather than 6/1)

[Finbar]

Under review but should be ok...

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Fair enough although KC+17 would be the better bet


got lucky with the TD profit ;)

[Finbar]

Only did that one on Noodle's advice. Not massive stakes and has kept me entertained

Fair play to him he did very well to stay in bounds, both feet were inches away from ruining the bet!

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Noodles advice :D

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Hey Noodle, come tell us all you know about the NFL ;)

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

I cant talk, ive only had about 4 winning bets on NFL this year, although havent tried for few weeks

Best was £40 on Maclin first TD scorer 10/1 few weeks back

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

You should remove your 1.15 lay btw

Lay at lower, they will be lower if the score this TD

[Flat Noodle]

Also Gronk to be First TD scorer @ 7
:lux: :lux: :lux:

[Finbar]

You should remove your 1.15 lay btw

Lay at lower, they will be lower if the score this TD

Could get out for a small loss now but will probably leave it for a while, still don't think NE are home and hosed yet

[Finbar]

Hey Noodle, come tell us all you know about the NFL ;)

All you needed to know was this, believe it speaks for itself :D

Pats -17.0 for me today.

Also Gronk to be First TD scorer @ 7

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

LOL what a start to 3rd Quarter for you punks

[Finbar]

Classic, and safe to say whatever lesson I should have learned from today it looks unlikely I will :)

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Well they should cover now

Got lucky just before HT when KC were driving up the field and looked nailed on for a FG if not a TD when Pats intercepted them and got a FG themselves out of it.

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Another INT from a tipped pass when KC were marching down the field

Pats getting very lucky

[Finbar]

Got lucky

To some, luck itself is an art :)

(that or it was just a crap throw from an inexperienced QB)

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Not inexperienced, just NFL inexperienced


They do say those who practice hard get the most luck

[Finbar]

copyright Gary Player I believe

(mine was copyright Color of Money)

[LLCOOLSTEVE]

Another INT when should have been a scoring drive

Poor

They really should have another 10 points at least

[Flat Noodle]

Pats -17.0 for me today.

Also Gronk to be First TD scorer @ 7
:afro:

[Flat Noodle]

Seattle -3.0
Denver +5.5
NE / PHI over 50.5

[pauldrulez]

Sigh, 4 weeks of diddly-squat on my bet.

Here we go again:
Matt Forte (Chicago) 13/5
Arian Foster (Houston) 9/4
Michael Turner (Atlanta) 19/10
AJ Green (Cincinnati) 7/2
Rob Gronkowski (New England) 11/4.

I've also had a bit on a patent of First TD Scorers overall.
CJ Spiller 15/2
Rob Gronkowski 11/2
Andre Johnson 8/1

[pauldrulez]

Panthers -3
Bills -9
Bucs +3
Bears +3
Steelers -11

Returns me just around 25/1

[Flat Noodle]

Have followed you on Forte, Turner and Gronk :p

[Flat Noodle]

PHI +6.0 in the last game vs NYG.

Also a dabble on LeSean McCoy (PHI) first TD scorer @ $5.50
Kicking myself for not having another go @ L McCoy this week :grrr:

[Finbar]

Steelers -11


Will follow you on that Paul :p

[Flat Noodle]

Bloody Seattle Chokers :veryangry

[pauldrulez]

Sigh, 4 weeks of diddly-squat on my bet.

Here we go again:
Matt Forte (Chicago) 13/5
Arian Foster (Houston) 9/4
Michael Turner (Atlanta) 19/10
AJ Green (Cincinnati) 7/2
Rob Gronkowski (New England) 11/4.

I've also had a bit on a patent of First TD Scorers overall.
CJ Spiller 15/2
Rob Gronkowski 11/2
Andre Johnson 8/1
Arse.

[Finbar]

Steelers game, am on Steelers -10.5 at 1.95 and total points under 41.5 at 1.95

Freezing weather according to FN

[Flat Noodle]

http://www.weather.com/weather/today/USMO0460

Currently 35F (1C)

Through 1am: Mostly clear with temperatures slowly falling to near 30F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

[Flat Noodle]

HT: PITT 13-6 KC

[Flat Noodle]

Bloody Seattle Chokers :veryangry
With the above post still fresh in my mind, it's no surprise that I'm going for Philly -3.0 today. Go The Eaglesssss!!! ;)

[Flat Noodle]

Kicking myself for not having another go @ L McCoy this week :grrr:
Got news that McCoy has questionable toe injury coming into this game, so I'm going to go with D Jackson (PHI) for first TD scorer @ 8/1.

[Flat Noodle]

Playing all these this week:

New England -20.5
Denver -1.0
Oakland +3.5
NY Jets -1.5
Tampa Bay -1.0
Chicago -7.0

[pauldrulez]

I got 3 from 5 this week in my bet.

AJ Green, Ray Rice and Rob Gronkowski done the business.

Arian Foster didn't.

Neither did Frank Gore. Who was 6 inches from winning me an extra £175.

[si1965]

Was watching Bears on Redzone last night - saw that Denver had possession in last minute of regular time and could force overtime. Stuck a couple of quid on at 20/1 and waited for Tebow time :lux: