#121
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__________________
Ibid. |
#122
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Tempted to download the semis onto my phone and watch them on the train, the thought of it makes me cringe but might be worth a few quid to know the good ones from the bad |
#123
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#124
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True but was more thinking about preparing for kneejerk reactions and making money there. Working out who will vote for who is far too complicated though am sure there are sites which would speculate (based on past voting) what is likely to happen
Also worth looking at market moves on Betfair that have already happened. In these things it's often easy to see a price which is falling and it's just a case of matching as much as you can before the price settles down when you can trade out. A lot easier said than done, good fun when it works though Any trading I do would be relatively small stakes unless I got to the position where I was playing with profit |
#125
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1. Got no other betting accounts or 2. Cannot be bothered checking other bookie prices or 3. Cannot be bothered going to the odds checking sites to get a better price. or 4. It's "easier" on Betfair or 5. Some other reason I haven't fathomed out yet I also suspect[although no proof whatsoever but if the Forum is at all representative then I'm convinced] that the average age of the layers may be older than the voting public and they be putting their own view in with the odds they set. This may be where you get "none of the good songs win" from. When assessing the songs you need to be objective as possible and look at the poll and analysis sites and tap in to the voting public as best as you can. Last edited by herts_palace; 26-05-2010 at 01:23 PM. |
#126
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#128
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#132
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Oh My God they're jumping up and down. |
#133
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I'm off now for a 9 mile run!
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Oh My God they're jumping up and down. |
#134
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I'll have a read too and we'll try and come to some conclusions so we can all benefit
__________________
Ibid. |
#135
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Dabbled in the Eurovision market a bit today (ahead of 2nd semifinal tonight), built up a fair liability on Israel so thought I should check out the songs at the head of the market.
Azerbaijan ticks pretty much every box!! Catchy, she's fit and it's called 'drip-drop', perfect!! 2.8 fav but must trade lower after tonight surely... tempted, very tempted. Might have £200 at 2.8, downside won't be much unless she has a total mare Will certainly be trading out of Israel before that rubbish...probably win of course Need to be matched at 14.0 to get a nice green on it having backed it at 14.5 and 16.0 this afternoon |
#136
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Initial Analysis on Eurovision.
1. Not many Arbs about- only found 1 so far 2. Some of the songs sound reasonable! 3. Having looked at previous winners, 8 of the last 9 have won it for the first time. If this was to continue this would increase the chances of Azerbaijan and Germany 4. A lot of Baltic states have won it recently. 5 Now off to read some of GE's docs
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Oh My God they're jumping up and down. |
#137
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Azerbaijan won't win due to the tactical voting surely? Not enough friends to vote for it.
Baltic/Scandinavian winner for sure IMO. Will read some of those docs though and see what they say.
__________________
Ibid. |
#138
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Yep, most of May's profits wiped out by that trade, they're now at 3.8, will try to claw some of that back over the next day and a half
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#139
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#140
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Happy to put up my losses as well, have managed to have very few of those recently though (talking about trading rather than normal betting!) slightly miffed at getting greedy on this one though, could have been worse as was tempted to put more than the £200 on.
My whole ethos is trading while stuff isn't happening so there are no big price jumps, guess I got greedy and the gambler in me couldn't resist. Maybe I'll put some money in my Betdaq account for the more volatile stuff and try to steadily increase my betfair account that way. From August will try to only bet on the unders / overs markets in Premiership / La Liga / Champs league / Internationals but is annoying when Betfair has markets which no other bookie has. Have made a few quid back on the Eurovision market but am sure I will end up losing overall (unless I trade it in running which I might do...) |
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