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  #61  
Old 05-04-2011, 04:02 PM
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EXTRABET offer: Place a fixed-odds outright winner bet on the 2011 US Masters before the event tees off on Thursday 7 April 2011 and if Tiger Woods wins the tournament we'll refund your stake as a free bet.
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  #62  
Old 05-04-2011, 04:17 PM
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Good deal but I couldn't quite work it to produce a profit
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  #63  
Old 05-04-2011, 04:19 PM
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Stan James is still a better offer as they are doing both Phil and Tiger. I dont consider Tiger to be a threat so dont think that extrabet is worth much. I do think Phil is going to win tho so SJ offer has legs

With warm weather in forecast, Mickelson plans to put two drivers in his bag this week and will go without a 3 iron or a hybrid
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  #64  
Old 05-04-2011, 04:21 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Beckenham Boy
Thu / Fri pairings announced, couple of goddun's: -

Byrd/Fisher/O'Hair
Lyle/Cejka/Chung
Kelly/Villegas/Overton
Crenshaw/Snedeker/Na
O'Meara/A Hansen/Slocum
DJ/Scott/Watney
Singh/Clark/Baddeley
Havret/Pettersen/R Palmer
Laird/Wilson/Van Pelt
McIlroy/Fowler/Day
Weir/Fujita/Goosen
Harrington/Ishikawa/Haas
Mize/Sabbitini/Yeong
Kaymer/Westwood/Kuchar
Mahan/Els/F Molinari
Woods/GMac/Allenby
Atwal/Garcia/Karlsson
Schwartzel/Appelby/Hoffman
Woosnam/Points/Crane
Stadler/Streelman/Smith
P Hanson/K Kim/Moore
Cabrera/Poulter/Toms
Immelman/Glove/Matsuyama
Z Johnson/Yang/Jiminez
Olazabal/Love III/L Kim
T Watson/Barnes/Bohn
Couples/Donald/Stricker
Kim/Stenson/Marino
B Watson/Casey/E Molinari
Cink/Furyk/Ikeda
Rose/Choi/Oosthuizen
Lefty/Ogilvy/Uihlein (A)
Vegas/Woodland/Quiros

Will have a look at 3-ball odds tomorrow
Think I might look at Laird, Harrington, Zach, Rose and Baddeley in a 3-ball acc. Will give it a bit more interest in the morning
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  #65  
Old 05-04-2011, 04:26 PM
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Westy G-Mac McIlroy Kaymer are my 4 bets. My Gold p/l on Betfair is +0.67 so I'm obviously not one that knows a great deal.
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  #66  
Old 05-04-2011, 04:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Beckenham Boy
Stan James is still a better offer as they are doing both Phil and Tiger. I dont consider Tiger to be a threat so dont think that extrabet is worth much. I do think Phil is going to win tho so SJ offer has legs

With warm weather in forecast, Mickelson plans to put two drivers in his bag this week and will go without a 3 iron or a hybrid
Thanks BB
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  #67  
Old 05-04-2011, 05:13 PM
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Baddley 50/1

F Molinari 80/1

Mahan 28/1

My three bets
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  #68  
Old 05-04-2011, 05:19 PM
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Some great pairings lined up there, like the ones you have highlighted BB but also liking the look of Els/Mahan/Molinari too, Rose/Choi/Oosthuizen has the potential to be a good group as well, wouldn't like to call a winner in either of those two.
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  #69  
Old 05-04-2011, 06:58 PM
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Where to start, love golf and love betting on it, great thread just not sure how I have missed it for the past two weeks.

Masters bets so far

1st round leader
Each Way on Kim (60's) and on the nose on Watney (25's)
Both capable of shooting a great score and Watney out early so should have the best of the greens.

1st round three balls
Like Kuchar to beat Westwood and Kaymer at 3.25, Kaymer hasn't played well at Augusta and hits the ball left to right which doesn't suit the course (as does GMac). Westwood having putting issues at the minute, he changed his putter for the Shell Houston Open last week and hardly holed anything, really hope he sorts it out but not confident of his first round score.

Mahan to beat Els and F Molinari at 2.3 Mahan is playing well and doesn't have to worry about pressure on a Thursday, Molinari and Els both not that confident with the putter at present.

Poults to beat Toms and Cabrera at 2.5 Just playing better than the others.

Kim to beat Marino and Stenson at 2.38, I am playing better than Stenson at the minute and although Marino is playing well I think this is his first visit to Augusta so think Kim is the right choice.

Also like the value in Ikeda beating Cink and Furyk, neither of the americans are playing well and 5.5 seems a large price

Outright
Lefty has to be favourite and anyone who can't see this is blind but I am not sure 7.5 is value in a top quality field
Westwoods putting worries me, I'd love him to win so wont back him as I'd be happy either way.
Kaymer unproven at Augusta and hits the wrong shape.
So my picks are all decent prices so doing them on SJ in case Lefty does win or Paddy Power who are giving 6 places.
Donald @ 29 Short game genius and similar to Z Johnson when he won.
Kuchar @ 34 just playing such good golf
Poulter @ 51 got the game and attitude to win
Crane @ 126 great putter and started showing signs of good form recently
Barnes @ 201 played well here last year to get a top 10 finish and decent showings recently
Watney and Mahan also have to be considered as they both have good Augusta records in the last three years.

Other bets
I really like Jimenez to be top continental european at 17 with SJ
Each way top three places at 1/4 odds

Think that should have covered about everyone
I did miss someone but don't think he will roar this year
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Old 05-04-2011, 07:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StuNick
Where to start, love golf and love betting on it, great thread just not sure how I have missed it for the past two weeks.

Masters bets so far

1st round leader
Each Way on Kim (60's) and on the nose on Watney (25's)
Both capable of shooting a great score and Watney out early so should have the best of the greens.

1st round three balls
Like Kuchar to beat Westwood and Kaymer at 3.25, Kaymer hasn't played well at Augusta and hits the ball left to right which doesn't suit the course (as does GMac). Westwood having putting issues at the minute, he changed his putter for the Shell Houston Open last week and hardly holed anything, really hope he sorts it out but not confident of his first round score.

Mahan to beat Els and F Molinari at 2.3 Mahan is playing well and doesn't have to worry about pressure on a Thursday, Molinari and Els both not that confident with the putter at present.

Poults to beat Toms and Cabrera at 2.5 Just playing better than the others.

Kim to beat Marino and Stenson at 2.38, I am playing better than Stenson at the minute and although Marino is playing well I think this is his first visit to Augusta so think Kim is the right choice.

Also like the value in Ikeda beating Cink and Furyk, neither of the americans are playing well and 5.5 seems a large price

Outright
Lefty has to be favourite and anyone who can't see this is blind but I am not sure 7.5 is value in a top quality field
Westwoods putting worries me, I'd love him to win so wont back him as I'd be happy either way.
Kaymer unproven at Augusta and hits the wrong shape.
So my picks are all decent prices so doing them on SJ in case Lefty does win or Paddy Power who are giving 6 places.
Donald @ 29 Short game genius and similar to Z Johnson when he won.
Kuchar @ 34 just playing such good golf
Poulter @ 51 got the game and attitude to win
Crane @ 126 great putter and started showing signs of good form recently
Barnes @ 201 played well here last year to get a top 10 finish and decent showings recently
Watney and Mahan also have to be considered as they both have good Augusta records in the last three years.

Other bets
I really like Jimenez to be top continental european at 17 with SJ
Each way top three places at 1/4 odds

Think that should have covered about everyone
I did miss someone but don't think he will roar this year
sounds like you're a decent player as well as punter
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Old 05-04-2011, 07:50 PM
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ok maybe a slight exageration
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Old 05-04-2011, 07:52 PM
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First draft short list for E/W betting. Need to get this down to 3



A Hansen
Watney
Kuchar
Mahan
Schwartzel
Allenby
D Johnson
Haas
Clark
Kim
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:07 AM
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Not sure where all the love is coming from for Kim, ok he had a good round at the weekend but his form has been shocking since he came back from injury. Just don't see it myself

I do think Donald and Kuchar tick most of the boxes, only one person ticks all of them but am not sure there is any value left in Mickelson.

Have already gone for some small bets on big outsiders, Ricky Barnes is someone who could well go well at a big price that hadn't occurred to me though

Will finalise my outright bets later on today and post them up here so people know who to avoid
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:11 AM
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Mickelson 8/1 with Hills, tempting...
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:14 AM
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Kims last event was the Shell Huston Open where he finished T13 on -10 with rounds of 72 64 69 73 = 278
Just 10 behind lefty though
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:16 AM
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Couple of cheeky Accumulators placed on 1st round 3-balls

Bet 1
Laird
Harrington
Baddeley
Sabbatini
Rose

Pays 33.67/1

Bet 2
Kelly
Na
A Hansen
R Palmer
Appelby
Streelman
Moore
Barnes

Pays 507.5/1
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:23 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Finbar
Not sure where all the love is coming from for Kim, ok he had a good round at the weekend but his form has been shocking since he came back from injury. Just don't see it myself
He likes Augusta though - he has played The Masters twice and finished T20 in 2009 and 3rd in 2010. The course suits his game. He is over his injury now and shot well at Houston.

I dont think he is going to feature this year personally but I can certainly see why others will consider him
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:25 AM
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I will be putting lots of cash down tonight on random mythical 3 balls, top nationalities etc but the ones that jump out at me at the moment after a quick check are;

Top Debutant - Laird 5/1
Top 20 Place - Barnes 4/1, Weir 10/1
Top 10 Place - Barnes 11/1, Weir 18/1

Skybet are also doing a 'winner without Woods, Lefty, Westwood, Watney' offer - Donald 11/1, Mahan 16/1, Kuchar 20/1, McDowell 25/1
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:26 AM
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Hmmm Gmac & Kuchar at those odds without those players are interesting
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Old 06-04-2011, 09:41 AM
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Hmm, just checked my Betfair and have more players than I thought, though the triple figure players are just a few quid here and there (except for Schwarzel who is a tenner)

Luke Donald 32
Rory McIlroy 34
Paul Casey 38
Graeme McDowell 55
Rickie Fowler 75
Alvaro Quiros 160
Charl Schwartzel 140
Bill Haas 150
Brandt Snedeker 200
Edoardo Molinari 220
Ricky Barnes 250

Only players left that I'm tempted to back are Mahan, Rose, Kuchar and Lefty, pretty much half the field covered

If I do get Lefty at 8/1 then at least I'll only be laying off at very short odds on Betfair rather than over trading like I normally do as I'll have backed him in an actual bookies not with Betfair
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