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  #1  
Old 05-02-2018, 11:30 AM
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Looking at remaining fixtures, where we stand

Ok so I’m a little hungover and on a day off. Feels like a defeat yesterday so I thought I’d take a little look at the remaining fixtures to get an idea of how we compare and got a little carried away.

Obviously football doesn’t work like this but over the course of the season it’s usually not far away in terms of results so... I’ve assessed each teams fixtures and games go in one of 3 categories to give a picture of how tough fixtures are

Bottom 10 ie. Watford down and highly winnable

Mid table ie.. Everton, Leicester, Bournemouth and Burnley. These are neutral and ignored for consistency for everyone as could go either way

Tough ie.. top 6. Assumed loss (though obviously won’t all go that way)

As I say, ignoring the mid table as neutral games each team has (winnable/top six) games. So I’m order of fixtures remaining, easiest run top we have

Swansea (6/3)
Huddersfield (6/4)
Watford (5/4) NB: doesn’t include chealsea tonight, free pass for simplicity
Palace (5/4)
Stoke (5/4)
WBA (5/4)
Southampton (4/4)
West Ham (4/5)
Brighton (4/5)
Newcastle (4/5)

As you can see Newcastle, Brighton ans West Ham do have the toughest run in’s, where as Swansea and Huddersfield have the most games against the bottom 10.

When you add the current table, points and -1 point for stoke and Huddersfield for extremely poor goal averages it looks like the table will end like this if difficaulty of remaining games is the deciding factor

Swansea
Watford
Palace
Huddersfield
Southampton
Stoke
West Ham
Brighton
WBA
Newcastle

Obviously that doesn’t count other influences like Swansea losing two key players last week and West Ham injury list being worse than ours. West Ham have a big part of thier ‘winnable’ games coming soon while they are struggling with players missing so timing could influence them.

Like I say, it’s football. It won’t go to form/league positions but just an illustration of the upcoming fixtures shows we are still in control of our own destiny and yesterday’s result wasn’t the worst.

Hope some of you find that interesting anyway
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Last edited by bigend1; 05-02-2018 at 11:39 AM.
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Old 05-02-2018, 11:32 AM
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Have you factored in that, at the rate we lose first team players per game, we could end up with 2 players on the pitch by the end of the season?
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Old 05-02-2018, 11:32 AM
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Have you factored in that, at the rate we lose first team players per game, we could end up with 2 players on the pitch by the end of the season?
Yes

Thatís why Iím hungover
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Old 05-02-2018, 11:34 AM
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Old 05-02-2018, 12:55 PM
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Originally Posted by bigend1 View Post
Ok so Iím a little hungover and on a day off. Feels like a defeat yesterday so I thought Iíd take a little look at the remaining fixtures to get an idea of how we compare and got a little carried away.

Obviously football doesnít work like this but over the course of the season itís usually not far away in terms of results so... Iíve assessed each teams fixtures and games go in one of 3 categories to give a picture of how tough fixtures are

Bottom 10 ie. Watford down and highly winnable

Mid table ie.. Everton, Leicester, Bournemouth and Burnley. These are neutral and ignored for consistency for everyone as could go either way

Tough ie.. top 6. Assumed loss (though obviously wonít all go that way)

As I say, ignoring the mid table as neutral games each team has (winnable/top six) games. So Iím order of fixtures remaining, easiest run top we have

Swansea (6/3)
Huddersfield (6/4)
Watford (5/4) NB: doesnít include chealsea tonight, free pass for simplicity
Palace (5/4)
Stoke (5/4)
WBA (5/4)
Southampton (4/4)
West Ham (4/5)
Brighton (4/5)
Newcastle (4/5)

As you can see Newcastle, Brighton ans West Ham do have the toughest run inís, where as Swansea and Huddersfield have the most games against the bottom 10.

When you add the current table, points and -1 point for stoke and Huddersfield for extremely poor goal averages it looks like the table will end like this if difficaulty of remaining games is the deciding factor

Swansea
Watford
Palace
Huddersfield
Southampton
Stoke
West Ham
Brighton
WBA
Newcastle

Obviously that doesnít count other influences like Swansea losing two key players last week and West Ham injury list being worse than ours. West Ham have a big part of thier Ďwinnableí games coming soon while they are struggling with players missing so timing could influence them.

Like I say, itís football. It wonít go to form/league positions but just an illustration of the upcoming fixtures shows we are still in control of our own destiny and yesterdayís result wasnít the worst.

Hope some of you find that interesting anyway

Good work, now can you tell me please are we staying up, s I can stop worrying
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Old 05-02-2018, 01:09 PM
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Is this a good time to mention Oldham?
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Old 05-02-2018, 05:12 PM
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We've had two transfer windows to avoid this, but we are now just one injury away from real trouble. If one of the wingers gets injured we have no cover. If WH gets injured we have no adequate cover (Jules also injured). If Benteke or AS get injured, we have no cover. If PVA gets injured, no adequate cover. Kelly is now injured too, so we only have Damo as cover for Tomkins and Sakho.
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Old 05-02-2018, 05:15 PM
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We've had two transfer windows to avoid this, but we are now just one injury away from real trouble. If one of the wingers gets injured we have no cover. If WH gets injured we have no adequate cover (Jules also injured). If Benteke or AS get injured, we have no cover. If PVA gets injured, no adequate cover. Kelly is now injured too, so we only have Damo as cover for Tomkins and Sakho.
Well yes, but you're wasting your time, sooooo many excuses.
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Old 05-02-2018, 05:18 PM
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Good work, now can you tell me please are we staying up, s I can stop worrying
To get the correct answer, you merely need to add up the results from this, the 'Remaining games of 2018 season', and 'relegation avoidance calculator thread, and divide them by three. And add 2
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Old 05-02-2018, 05:45 PM
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To get the correct answer, you merely need to add up the results from this, the 'Remaining games of 2018 season', and 'relegation avoidance calculator thread, and divide them by three. And add 2
And if the sun comes up we will be fine. You forgot that.
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Old 05-02-2018, 05:50 PM
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To get the correct answer, you merely need to add up the results from this, the 'Remaining games of 2018 season', and 'relegation avoidance calculator thread, and divide them by three. And add 2
That's better,
now I understand, thanks VHA
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Old 03-03-2018, 08:13 PM
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On course apart from us of course!
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Old 03-03-2018, 08:15 PM
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Originally Posted by Vince Hilaire's Afro View Post
To get the correct answer, you merely need to add up the results from this, the 'Remaining games of 2018 season', and 'relegation avoidance calculator thread, and divide them by three. And add 2
Just did it. I got Barnsley.
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