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  #10901  
Old 17-06-2012, 08:40 PM
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  #10902  
Old 17-06-2012, 10:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigtoe82
Very quick gm bet if people can get on.

Holland to have more possession than portugal @ 1.25. Free money, have had more possession in both their games, portugal have ha less in both theirs. The dutch need to win and will keep the ball, tey'll have at least 58%, at least!!

Edit: i can only find the bet at bwin.

Easy win Holland 59% to Portugal's 41%, next possession one will be France to have more than Sweden at 1/5.
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  #10903  
Old 17-06-2012, 10:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigtoe82
Very quick gm bet if people can get on.

Holland to have more possession than portugal @ 1.25. Free money, have had more possession in both their games, portugal have ha less in both theirs. The dutch need to win and will keep the ball, tey'll have at least 58%, at least!!

Edit: i can only find the bet at bwin.
Great bet

I think it's only bwin who do these 'most possession' bets on the Euros.

This doesn't count as 'Goldmine' as minimum odds are 1.5, but great stuff ... maybe post on the 'Betting Thread' in future if odds are below 1.5?
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  #10904  
Old 23-06-2012, 10:38 AM
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Can't decide on tonight's game and think it could go either way (France may have something up their sleeve against what I think is an arrogant Spanish side)

Anyway been looking for different bets and Ladbrokes are offering 6/5 for France to get over 4 corners. Victor chandler are offering 20/23 for France to get over 3 corners for those not so greedy. I'm on the 6/5!
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  #10905  
Old 23-06-2012, 12:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wycombe Eagle#2
Can't decide on tonight's game and think it could go either way (France may have something up their sleeve against what I think is an arrogant Spanish side)

Anyway been looking for different bets and Ladbrokes are offering 6/5 for France to get over 4 corners. Victor chandler are offering 20/23 for France to get over 3 corners for those not so greedy. I'm on the 6/5!
Interesting bet but wrong thread ... the Goldmine thread is for 'high probability' bets with odds of over 1.5. See page 1 of thread for agreed guidelines. This should be on the Betting Thread.
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  #10906  
Old 23-06-2012, 01:01 PM
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Sorry never read the first page!

But according to your guidelines I think the bet is of high probability with odds over 1.5!?
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  #10907  
Old 23-06-2012, 01:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wycombe Eagle#2
Sorry never read the first page!

But according to your guidelines I think the bet is of high probability with odds over 1.5!?
If you believe that - then it counts as Goldmine

Reminder to all:

A Goldmine Bet is one that is:

1. Very likely to win
2. Backed up by detailed reasoning as to WHY it will win
3. Minimum odds of 1.5 (or 1/2)
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  #10908  
Old 22-07-2012, 01:20 PM
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Can't say I would advocate betting so short but I don't think it gets more goldmine than Bradley Wiggins to win SPOTY at 4/5 and Sir Steve Redgrave to to light the Olympic Flame at 4/6.

Regardless of what goes on at the Olympics, Farrah and Ennis shouldn't come close to taking it from Wiggo and if anyone else lights the Olympic Flame I'd be shocked!
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  #10909  
Old 22-07-2012, 02:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JamTheEagle
Can't say I would advocate betting so short but I don't think it gets more goldmine than Bradley Wiggins to win SPOTY at 4/5 and Sir Steve Redgrave to to light the Olympic Flame at 4/6.

Regardless of what goes on at the Olympics, Farrah and Ennis shouldn't come close to taking it from Wiggo and if anyone else lights the Olympic Flame I'd be shocked!

Wouldn't have agreed with you a week ago on Wiggo but the BBC have made a big thing of it despite not having coverage. Also the paper coverage has been extensive. However the event and achievement will dim as December approaches so the voting could be close. Three reasons why not to make the bet:

1. Doesn't capture the female vote like Murray would say[not that he's a contender at present]
2. A cyclist won it last year.
3. If he doesn't win gold in the Time trial that could work against him.



He may need to win the time trial to win it so it might be better to back him in the time trial. Haven't seen the odds though.

Price for SPOTY is about right in my opinion. If a Ennis wins from behind and/or breaks a world record then it could be close. Most people still think Athletics when you mention Olympics.

Wouldn't go near to SR at 4/6 on the flame thing as they may wish to spring a surprise.
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  #10910  
Old 22-07-2012, 02:16 PM
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As I said I wouldn't bet on it, I said it was value when he was 8/1 before the Tour started but not now - though I really don't think he will get beaten. Murray won't win anything and regardless of what else happens this year - this is the greatest British sporting achievement for a long time, him and his team deserve all the praise they are getting, if not more.

Maybe Borris will light the flame?
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  #10911  
Old 22-07-2012, 03:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JamTheEagle
As I said I wouldn't bet on it, I said it was value when he was 8/1 before the Tour started but not now - though I really don't think he will get beaten. Murray won't win anything and regardless of what else happens this year - this is the greatest British sporting achievement for a long time, him and his team deserve all the praise they are getting, if not more.

Maybe Borris will light the flame?

Fair enough on the bet and if you got on at 8/1 that sounds like a good price as he was only about 2/1 to win the tour wasn't he?

As for the flame I think it may be a left field choice but I would price Boris at 100/1.
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  #10912  
Old 31-07-2012, 06:24 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DedBallSpeshlst
2011/2012 Leading First Season Sire (Australian Races Only)
Casino Prince @5.00
Sportingbet

Bernardini has opened as 4.40 favorite, but his Australian foals are looking like 3yo/mile and beyond types and owners won't be pushing them early. Casino Prince has the CV for early 2yos and his foals are turning out that way. He has heaps of them too at 108, only behind Bernardini (114) and Dylan Thomas (116) who both should have later maturers. CP also has the most named progeny (more than half of them) which is usually a good guage on how they are coming along. Most importantly, the majority of the CP foals have stayed with the massively well-resourced Patinack Farm who stand the stallion and have spent huge money buying quality mares for him. Stable trainer John Thompson has made it clear that they are very precocious types and they've already had a decent trial winner. Patinack have stables in four states and CPs progeny will be carefully placed in their races to ensure they win for the stallions sake.

Casino Prince is a moral - not only does he look like producing good 2yos, but he has weight of numbers on his side and his connections are in a position to do everything possible to help him along the way. The only downside is you have to wait until the end of the season on 1 August next year to collect.

Loser, finished 2nd to fellow Patinack stallion Husson, to whom all of the analysis above also applied, but he started at 17.00

Casino Prince did win the official title of champion Australian first season sire, which is based on prizemoney rather than winners, and won by a big margin, but there was no market for that one.
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  #10913  
Old 31-07-2012, 08:27 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DedBallSpeshlst
Loser, finished 2nd to fellow Patinack stallion Husson, to whom all of the analysis above also applied, but he started at 17.00

Casino Prince did win the official title of champion Australian first season sire, which is based on prizemoney rather than winners, and won by a big margin, but there was no market for that one.
Thanks - will try to update the tables soon
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  #10914  
Old 05-08-2012, 06:30 PM
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Hey all. I was a regular contributor to this thread around 2004-2007. Have just been reading through pages of old posts- some great memories!

Will try to start following again..... need to see who is still around!
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  #10915  
Old 05-08-2012, 07:58 PM
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I think it's too late to put it up but 'will there be a WR in the 100m final? No' is currently 1.5, big price surely?
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  #10916  
Old 05-08-2012, 10:16 PM
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I hate it when this thread comes up on my User CP with new posts but then there are no actual goldmine bets.
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  #10917  
Old 06-08-2012, 03:19 AM
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Well it wasn't an official GM bet but you were free to bet against it which would have won despite Bolt running to the line
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  #10918  
Old 06-08-2012, 08:19 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by srs9jps
Hey all. I was a regular contributor to this thread around 2004-2007. Have just been reading through pages of old posts- some great memories!

Will try to start following again..... need to see who is still around!
I'm still around. But very mindful of the "curse" before I post anything...
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  #10919  
Old 06-08-2012, 12:07 PM
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I'm still around. But very mindful of the "curse" before I post anything...
If I was to count up all the bets that I was sure were 'goldmine' and nearly put on here ...

Latest idea is Brazil to win the Olympics Mens Football

Semi-finals tomorrow (Tuesday 7th August) are:

Mexico v Japan
South Korea v Brazil

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Footbal...nt#Semi-finals

Currently you can get 1.5 on Brazil to win with a few bookies -

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/...ll/mens/winner

But is it 'Goldmine' ... ?
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  #10920  
Old 12-08-2012, 07:23 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DedBallSpeshlst
Loser, finished 2nd to fellow Patinack stallion Husson, to whom all of the analysis above also applied, but he started at 17.00

Casino Prince did win the official title of champion Australian first season sire, which is based on prizemoney rather than winners, and won by a big margin, but there was no market for that one.
2011 table has been updated on page 1 of thread following this result. Profit for 2011 now reduced to 8.60%
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