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  #201  
Old 16-05-2011, 08:52 AM
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TPC Sawgrass

Lucas Glover - won last week on a similar tight course and was 3rd at TPC last year - e/w @ 80/1

Rory Sabbatini - Won on tour this year, 3rd last week and was OK in TPC 2010 - e/w @ 80/1

Jonathan Byrd - Pretty consistently at the top this year, won on Tour, 2nd last week - question mark over the course - e/w @ 80/1

Bill Haas - Did not play TPC last year and hasd not won this year on Tour but been there or there abouts many times and comes off 4th at Wells Fargo - e/w @ 66/1

Stewart Cink - Missed the cut last year and has not won on Tour this year but signs his game is coming back into form with some good finishes in last few weeks culminating in best finish of year at Wells Fargo - certainly got the game for Sawgrass - e/w @ 100/1

Iberdrola Open

Paul Lawrie - Last 2 events finished winner and 5th, in fine form - e/w @ 25/1

Chris Wood - Starting to play better again, 24th last week and finished T5 here last season - e/w @ 25/1
TPC all losers - everyone apart from Haas were in with a shout until the weather affected 3rd day and it blew a few of mine away. Cink finished best at T19 - he is getting his game back and will be good prices for some up and coming events so worth watching if he moves in the market pre event

Iberdrola - Chris Wood basically lead all 4 days until overhauled by Clarkey on the final day (I dont mind that though as seeing Clarke win again makes me V Happy!). Wood finished 3rd and Paul Lawrie finished T5 so both payout

PGA 0/5
EUR 2/2
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  #202  
Old 16-05-2011, 12:19 PM
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Thursday and Friday pairings for the Volvo World Matchplay in Finca Cortesin in Spain have been announced - some great matches!

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Will do some match and overall betting
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  #203  
Old 16-05-2011, 02:38 PM
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TPC Sawgrass - as mentioned previously
Luke Donald - 19.0
Ben Crane - 46.0 e/w
Sergio Garcia - 67.0 e/w
Webb Simpson - Top 10 finish - 8.0

Ibredola Open
Paul Lawrie - 26.0 e/w
Pablo Larrazabal - 23.0 e/w
Alenjandro Canizares - 31.0 e/w
TPC ones were crap although would have had a winner on Luke if I'd gone e/w with him. Sergio did well in the final round shooting 8 under but had way to much ground to make up after the first 3 days. God knows where Crane and Simpson finished.

As for the European Tour, Lawrie placed which would have given a nice little return at odds of 6.5 the other two failed though.

Matchplay this week! Yay!

PGA - 0/4
Euro - 1/3
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Old 17-05-2011, 07:36 PM
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Matchplay this week in the European PGA, head to head golf, and definitely going to get some great action this weekend.

Volvo World Matchplay
Luke Donald - 8.0 (SkyBet) - My favourite player on tour at the moment and a fantastic matchplay player. Dominant in the Ryder Cup last year, winner of the Accenture Matchplay a few months ago and still in great form at the moment. Understandably the favourite and deserved. For me this is as close as you get to a sure bet in golf.....that's not to say he's definitely going to win it but he's that good at matchplay you can't not put money on him.

Graeme McDowell - 17.0 (BetFred) - Went well at Sawgrass last weekend but 30 holes in one day was a little too much for him meaning he tailed off on Sunday afternoon. His new swing is starting to take shape, he's getting his confidence back and is a fantastic matchplay player.

Crowne Plaza Invitational
Jason Day e/w - 19.0 (Bet365) - Form player in the field at the moment, tied 6th last week at Sawgrass, had a good finish at the Colonial back in 09 finishing 4th so he likes the course and since then he has only got a lot better in every department.

Hunter Mahan e/w - 23.0 (SkyBet) - 6 top 10's this year and tied for 6th last week at Sawgrass. Playing good golf at the moment and has the class to win comfortably in this shortened field without the HUGE names in golf. Doesn't have a great record at the Colonial but first in birdie average at the moment.

Sergio Garcia - Top 10 Finish - 4.5 (totesport) - Just get on it at that price. Playing superb golf at the moment, coming off the back of a 8 under final round at Sawgrass, his confidence has returned and 4.5 is a great price for a top 10 finish.
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Old 17-05-2011, 10:54 PM
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Nice on Swanny, what is the format of the matchplay? Seems odd that their first 3 matches are already set...
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Old 17-05-2011, 11:04 PM
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8 groups of 4, round Robin, top two from each group advance to knock outs.
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Old 17-05-2011, 11:24 PM
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Just had a look and it's actually 8 groups of 3, winner only to go through

Donald has a pig of a draw though, Fisher and Moore both tricky opponents when you look at other draws

Kaymer has Yang and Noh, two players who rarely play in Europe, Kaymer just split with his caddie as well, 9/2 to make the final appeals to me
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  #208  
Old 17-05-2011, 11:27 PM
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Fisher won it last time so Luke will have his work cut out, but Fisher really hasn't been all the prominent of late and Moore should be a fairly easy win for Donald.

Are you sure it's groups of 3, could have sworn it was 4.
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Old 17-05-2011, 11:36 PM
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You also have to like the chances of McDowell being drawn with Oosthouizen and Vegas, neither of whom are doing much right now, 4.3 with Betfair to reach the semis, 8.8 to reach the final and 18.5 to win it

Definitely groups of 3, here is the betting for Kaymer's group, makes sense as well, 8 left for Saturday, 2 rounds that day to leave the final for Sunday

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Old 17-05-2011, 11:49 PM
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Yeah, my bad, just checked it. 3 it is.

Still like Luke, the group isn't that hard, nowhere near as hard as Poulters group anyway.

McDowell is a good bet for all three, he's got a fairly easy group and is playing some good golf. I really do fancy him to win it this week, been a while since we saw GMac win something.
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Old 18-05-2011, 09:25 AM
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CROWNE PLAZA

The winner at Colonial usually has a score around -20 therefore birdie averages, total birdies and average scoring stats are interesting.

1. Brian Gay - Gay sits T11 in Total birdies (187 in 48 rounds), 6th in Scoring average (69.90) and has not missed a cut since Feb. PGA says his game is set up perfect for Colonial and I tend to agree. 40/1 is a monster price at B365

2. Hunter Mahan - T8 in total birdies, 1st in Birdie average (4.62 per round) and 11th in Scoring Average (70.12). 22/1 at Victor Chandler, who have the offer of a hole in 1 during tourney pays out as a winner still running

3. Stewart Cink - I have backed him the last 2 tournaments as I see him improving each tournament. It wont be long before he is back at the top of the leaderboard. 40/1 for the win is OK but I prefer 7/2 Top 10 finish
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Old 18-05-2011, 09:37 AM
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VOLVO MATCHPLAY

Looking at how the Groups progress into the knockout round, I dislike groups A, B, H and G as some big names are going to be facing each other early and I find it difficult to predict. I prefer the look of groups C, D, E & F

Paul Casey Should get through the Kjeldsen and Quiros group as winner and likely to face Kaymer (I think Yang has the beating of Kaymer) who is struggling with his focus on the game at present. Likely to face GMac in the semi but Casey has more success than GMac in this format although Gmac has the better game. I like Casey overall at 18/1 on Betfred and 7/1 to reach the final on extrabet

Yang to reach the final on Extrabet at 22/1 is huge as well. He will have to beat a few big names - he beat Quiros, Cink and Gmac before finally losing to Kuchar 2&1 in the Acenture matchplay ealrier this year.
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Old 18-05-2011, 12:37 PM
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Couple of offers on the Matchplay from SJ

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The 2011 Volvo World Match Play 19th - 22nd May

This week is the World Match Play being held at the Finca Cortesin Golf Club in Spain.

* Place a single match bet on the Volvo World Match Play for the first two days competition, and if your player finishes all square after 18 holes, we will refund all losing singles on the match as a free bet.
* Place a single match bet on the Volvo World Match Play for the last two days competition, and if that match is decided by an extra hole or holes, we will refund all losing singles on the match as a free bet.

Terms and Conditions

1. All refunds will be in the form of a free bet.
2. The offer applies to singles only.
3. Minimum qualifying stake is 5 and maximum is 100.
4. We reserve the right to withdraw any offer at any time.
5. Standard StanJames.com terms and conditions apply.
6. The offer does not apply to In-Play markets.
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Old 19-05-2011, 03:18 PM
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1st round is over.....

Molinari and Poulter - Halved
Jimenez beat Schwartzel 6&5
Quiros beat Casey 3&1
McIlroy beat Goosen 1up
McDowell beat Oosthuizen 3&1
Donald beat Moore 4&3
Westwood beat Hansen 6&5

Kaymer still out on the course and is 2up thru 16 against YE Yang.
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Old 20-05-2011, 12:04 AM
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Blimey, that was a good start, winning single, treble and 4 fold!

Looks like it's two out of the 3 who qualify, few things to note.

Firstly the below format means it's surely almost guaranteed to have a couple of 3 way play offs (where A beats B, B beats C and C beats A)

Also it's group winner vs group runner up in the last 16 which seems an odd way of doing it, good for those in the weak groups though

Anyway, happy with my GMac at 18.5 and Kaymer at 11.5 bets



FORMAT
If, after all matches have been played, two or more players are tied on points the following criteria will be used to determine the order:

i) Where two players are tied within a group (in any position within the group) then their specific head to head match result will be used to identify which player is placed higher

ii) If two or more players are still tied then those players will compete in a hole-by-hole play-off.

iii) If all three players win one match in their respective group then all three players shall play-off.
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  #216  
Old 20-05-2011, 12:10 AM
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Got to like the look of this double tomorrow

Gmac to beat Vegas 8/13
Kaymer to beat N'Oh 8/13

2.62 with Betfred (best priced on both with Oddschecker)

1. Both won yesterday
2. Both get a break in the morning
3. Both opponents have to play a tough match beforehand at 7am on a long undulating course (Vegas in particular doesn't strike me as the fittest)
4. You would fancy them to win even without the above 3
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Old 20-05-2011, 12:15 AM
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Have done the double and also added in McIllroy at 4/7 for the same reasoning

Mind you now I think of it it's maybe not so good if Vegas or N'oh win in the morning as it makes the afternoon match pretty pointless (they play each other regardless of who wins). That's assuming my understanding of the format is correct

Maybe should have waited, oops!
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Old 20-05-2011, 12:25 AM
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Mind you Vegas is in shocking form at the moment, the 1.92 on Oosthuizen might be quite good, no idea how well anyone played yesterday...one of the downsides of being in Australia!

The other downside is talking to yourself on betting forums
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Old 20-05-2011, 07:12 AM
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Lol, glad you entertained yourself for a while Fin.
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Old 20-05-2011, 07:19 AM
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Am used to it (see the Snooker Betting thread!!)

Bets today are Yang doubled up with Oosthuizen then the above double and treble.

Didn't do the big single on Oosthuizen (2 up after 3) which I wish i had done but glad (at the moment) I have him in the Betting comps

If Yang and Oost do win this morning I'll be on 6 out of 6 so no chance on my treble this afteroon!!

If Vegas does get spanked by Oost then surely GMac will do a job on him this afternoon, mind you when things look too good I usually end up Goldmining them and they usually end up losing so I'll shut up now
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