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  #1  
Old 02-12-2021, 11:30 AM
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By-election Updates

Was going to do one just for Old Bexley and Sidcup but there are a few coming up .
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  #2  
Old 02-12-2021, 11:31 AM
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I hope everyone loses
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Old 02-12-2021, 11:32 AM
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Old Bexley and Sidcup last time out - Tory 29.7k, Labour 10.8k, Lib Dems 3.8k, Green 1.4k

So would take a big change to not go Tory again
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Old 02-12-2021, 11:32 AM
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I hope everyone loses
Cheer up cr
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Old 02-12-2021, 11:33 AM
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Originally Posted by Reps AJ View Post
Was going to do one just for Old Bexley and Sidcup but there are a few coming up .
Used to be my constituency
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Old 02-12-2021, 05:45 PM
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Originally Posted by T.C. View Post
Used to be my constituency
and Ted Health's - coincidence?

North Shropshire might be close and, if so, would send a similar shock wave to this shambles of a government as Chesham and Amersham did.
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Old 02-12-2021, 05:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Adlerhorst View Post
I hope everyone loses
Rejoin EU, endorsed and supported by Londependence are standing in Brexit Bexley, perhaps you could wish them well
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Old 02-12-2021, 06:18 PM
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Cheer up cr
When you cut, you cut deep
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Old 02-12-2021, 06:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Reps AJ View Post
Old Bexley and Sidcup last time out - Tory 29.7k, Labour 10.8k, Lib Dems 3.8k, Green 1.4k

So would take a big change to not go Tory again
They did have that guy as an MP who had his son on the payroll whilst at university.
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Old 03-12-2021, 05:57 AM
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Tories hold the safe seat of Old Bexley and Sidcup, they did see a drop in vote though but it is still a safe Tory seat
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Old 03-12-2021, 06:57 AM
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Old Bexley and Sidcup (UK Parliament) by-election result:

CON: 51.5% (-13.1)
LAB: 30.9% (+7.4)
REFUK: 6.6% (+6.6)
GRN: 3.8% (+0.6)
LDEM: 3.0% (-5.3)

Conservative HOLD.

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Old 03-12-2021, 07:02 AM
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Awful turnout
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Old 03-12-2021, 07:07 AM
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Awful turnout
Probably only slightly on the low side for a by-election?

Edit: but, yes, it is poor that people can't be bothered to vote
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Old 03-12-2021, 07:26 AM
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Think this is a balanced summary from Lewis Goodall (Newsnight)

As I said on Newsnight earlier, something for everyone in this result

Conservatives can say they’ve kept the seat

Meanwhile a decent Labour performance. 10% swing- perhaps not loads of switchers but as I say, can point to best performance in the seat for 20 years

Starmer allies will point out performance here is higher than Corbyn 2017 share (albeit hard to read loads into it as a result of low turnout)

Reform will be pleased with a creditable 3rd place finish. Gives them some momentum. Again should give Cons some pause for thought.

Again further evidence of some tacit tactical voting, as we saw in C&A. Lib Dem vote down and transferring to Labour- but not enough for Labour to mine.

Very low turnout important to note. Yes it’s December, there’s omicron, no pressing local issue, again such a big drop off...

...for the Conservatives will worry the party, especially with North Shropshire just on the horizon.

Incidentally, as the great Peter Snow would say it’s just a bit of fun, but a 10% swing like this would see Boris Johnson lose his seat.


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  #15  
Old 03-12-2021, 08:20 AM
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Old Bexley and Sidcup will likely show disgruntled Tory voters are staying at home. Will reflect and vindicate what the polls are saying. Labour will gain ground by default, netting little new support.
Probably about right.
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Old 03-12-2021, 08:41 AM
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I don't know whether to be alarmed by the fact that those Reform UK twats are winning votes, or encouraged by the possibility that they might damage the Tories.
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Old 03-12-2021, 08:57 AM
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Labour did well despite or perhaps because they have no policies. The lib dem vote blimey.
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Old 03-12-2021, 08:59 AM
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No surprise that Reform UK should enjoy support in that area.
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Old 03-12-2021, 09:07 AM
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The lib dem vote blimey.
It either collapsed or shifted tactically to Labour
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Old 03-12-2021, 09:08 AM
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Originally Posted by adrenalin john View Post
Rejoin EU, endorsed and supported by Londependence are standing in Brexit Bexley, perhaps you could wish them well
151 votes!!!
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