By-election Updates

[Reps AJ]

Was going to do one just for Old Bexley and Sidcup but there are a few coming up .

[Adlerhorst]

I hope everyone loses

[Reps AJ]

Old Bexley and Sidcup last time out - Tory 29.7k, Labour 10.8k, Lib Dems 3.8k, Green 1.4k

So would take a big change to not go Tory again

[Reps AJ]

Originally Posted by Adlerhorst

I hope everyone loses

Cheer up cr

[T.C.]

Originally Posted by Reps AJ

Was going to do one just for Old Bexley and Sidcup but there are a few coming up .

Used to be my constituency

[Chillo]

Originally Posted by T.C.

Used to be my constituency

and Ted Health's - coincidence?

North Shropshire might be close and, if so, would send a similar shock wave to this shambles of a government as Chesham and Amersham did.

[adrenalin john]

Originally Posted by Adlerhorst

I hope everyone loses

Rejoin EU, endorsed and supported by Londependence are standing in Brexit Bexley, perhaps you could wish them well

[Adlerhorst]

Originally Posted by Reps AJ

Cheer up cr

When you cut, you cut deep

[Nth Kent Eagle]

Originally Posted by Reps AJ

Old Bexley and Sidcup last time out - Tory 29.7k, Labour 10.8k, Lib Dems 3.8k, Green 1.4k

So would take a big change to not go Tory again

They did have that guy as an MP who had his son on the payroll whilst at university.

[RazorsEdge]

Tories hold the safe seat of Old Bexley and Sidcup, they did see a drop in vote though but it is still a safe Tory seat

[Reps AJ]

Old Bexley and Sidcup (UK Parliament) by-election result:

CON: 51.5% (-13.1)
LAB: 30.9% (+7.4)
REFUK: 6.6% (+6.6)
GRN: 3.8% (+0.6)
LDEM: 3.0% (-5.3)

Conservative HOLD.

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[Jordan's Jacket]

Awful turnout

[Reps AJ]

Originally Posted by Jordan's Jacket

Awful turnout

Probably only slightly on the low side for a by-election?

Edit: but, yes, it is poor that people can't be bothered to vote

[Reps AJ]

Think this is a balanced summary from Lewis Goodall (Newsnight)

As I said on Newsnight earlier, something for everyone in this result

Conservatives can say they’ve kept the seat

Meanwhile a decent Labour performance. 10% swing- perhaps not loads of switchers but as I say, can point to best performance in the seat for 20 years

Starmer allies will point out performance here is higher than Corbyn 2017 share (albeit hard to read loads into it as a result of low turnout)

Reform will be pleased with a creditable 3rd place finish. Gives them some momentum. Again should give Cons some pause for thought.

Again further evidence of some tacit tactical voting, as we saw in C&A. Lib Dem vote down and transferring to Labour- but not enough for Labour to mine.

Very low turnout important to note. Yes it’s December, there’s omicron, no pressing local issue, again such a big drop off...

...for the Conservatives will worry the party, especially with North Shropshire just on the horizon.

Incidentally, as the great Peter Snow would say it’s just a bit of fun, but a 10% swing like this would see Boris Johnson lose his seat.


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[cockneyrebel]

Old Bexley and Sidcup will likely show disgruntled Tory voters are staying at home. Will reflect and vindicate what the polls are saying. Labour will gain ground by default, netting little new support.

Probably about right.

[DANGERMOUSE]

I don't know whether to be alarmed by the fact that those Reform UK twats are winning votes, or encouraged by the possibility that they might damage the Tories.

[Nth Kent Eagle]

Labour did well despite or perhaps because they have no policies. The lib dem vote blimey.

[dave_who_ru]

No surprise that Reform UK should enjoy support in that area.

[Reps AJ]

Originally Posted by Nth Kent Eagle

The lib dem vote blimey.

It either collapsed or shifted tactically to Labour

[GreatGonzo]

Originally Posted by adrenalin john

Rejoin EU, endorsed and supported by Londependence are standing in Brexit Bexley, perhaps you could wish them well

151 votes!!!